neversol Kurs NEVER

$ETH - The downside of being transparent is you can't lie and say you sold higher when you never said to sell. We've fully retraced the election pump, uglier than I expected, but we have all year to recover so will hold and be patient.

$SOL - Buy zone just got tapped. No matter how many times you preach buying low and selling high people will still do the opposite and wonder why they never make it. If you are going to be wrong be wrong buying low and it going lower, or selling high and it going higher.

Knock! knock! who's there? 🤣🤣🤣 @ForesightVen never slacks.

The economic tensions between the United States and the European Union are reaching a new peak. Donald Trump, true to his protectionist policy, has just announced a spectacular increase in customs duties on European exports, bringing them to 25%. A brutal decision that far exceeds the 10% mentioned during his campaign and places Europe in a situation of diplomatic and economic emergency. The major powers of the Old Continent must now face a threat that could redraw global trade balances. From the White House, Donald Trump announced that all European exports would be taxed at 25%, as he claims that “the European Union was designed to annoy the United States.” This incendiary statement, which fits into the lineage of his hostile stance toward Brussels, reinforces a trade policy focused on protecting the American economy. Indeed, the American president had already targeted China, but this time, it is the historical allies of the United States who are to bear the pressure. The economic consequences are expected to be particularly severe for several European nations. Thus, Germany, Slovakia, Ireland, and Denmark are among the most exposed countries. Their dependence on exports to the American market, particularly in the automotive and pharmaceutical sectors, places them on the front lines of potential victims of these new customs barriers . For Brussels, this offensive is nothing less than a frontal attack on the European economy, and the Commission has immediately promised a response commensurate with the challenge. Europe does not intend to endure this offensive without reacting. Moreover, the European Commission has promised a firm and immediate response, although the exact nature of this counter-attack remains uncertain. Several options are on the table: retaliate with targeted taxes on American imports or intensify discussions to try to ease tensions. Europeans know that Donald Trump is a strategist of brutal negotiations, as he regularly uses trade threats as leverage. Behind the scenes, diplomatic efforts are intensifying. European negotiators are already in Washington, seeking a resolution before the implementation of these protectionist measures. Some observers remain cautious, reminding that Canada and Mexico, also threatened by tax increases, have obtained a reprieve. This fuels hope for a possible easing. However, a trade escalation remains a realistic scenario, which could weaken both the European economy and global trade. If this new trade war were to materialize, the repercussions could be considerable for the global economy. An increase in customs tariffs mechanically leads to a slowdown in trade, increased pressure on European businesses, and prolonged instability in financial markets. Brussels must now decide between direct confrontation or a pragmatic compromise. One certainty remains: economic relations between the United States and Europe will never be the same again.

The Germans went to the polls on February 23, reshaping the political landscape of the country. With the victory of the Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) and the notable rise of the far right, attention turns to the major economic challenges facing the future government. Among them, a shocking revelation: the Bundesbank recorded a record loss of 19.2 billion euros in 2024, a financial abyss that will weigh heavily on Friedrich Merz’s budgetary choices. Germany, once the economic engine of a Europe in crisis , today shows serious signs of weakness. After two years of recession, companies are warning of a loss of competitiveness and a decline in exports. The ECB’s interest rate hikes, initially aimed at controlling inflation, have exacerbated the difficulties faced by central banks. Result: the Bundesbank must pay higher interest to commercial banks, while its revenues from bonds are falling. Businesses, for their part, are far from calm. They are demanding a drastic reduction in energy costs and bureaucracy. But will the Merz government be able to satisfy them while respecting budgetary constraints? The future chancellor Friedrich Merz is not a novice in finance, but he has never held a ministerial position. The CDU’s strongman is a former executive at BlackRock, which fuels criticism of his ties with the banking sector. “Friedrich Merz is directly from BlackRock, with no government experience. He has been chosen to lead one of Europe’s most influential nations.“, denounces an observer on social media. The challenge is immense: while the CDU advocates for tax cuts and a return to nuclear energy, its potential coalition allies, particularly the Greens, are advocating for heavier taxation and a radical ecological shift. As for the SPD, it wants a fund of 100 billion euros to finance industrial transition. But how to finance these projects without the revenues from the Bundesbank and under the constraint of the debt brake? The other great uncertainty factor comes from across the Atlantic. With the return of Donald Trump to the White House, Germany fears new taxes on its exports to Europe. Trump wants to reduce the U.S. trade deficit and encourages German companies to relocate their production to the United States. Is a new economic storm brewing for Berlin? Is Germany doomed to economic weakening? Besides the banking crisis and the American protectionist threat, German companies are struggling to find skilled workers. High energy costs, over-regulation, and the burden of social security weigh on industrial competitiveness. “The economy is contracting. Unemployment is rising. Germany no longer attracts investors.“, warns Rainer Dulger , president of the German Employers’ Confederation. In light of this situation, a coalition of 100 economic associations launched a political SOS, organizing a demonstration in Berlin on January 29. They are calling for a comprehensive reform to revitalize the economic fabric. Among their demands: But the future government’s room for maneuver remains limited. Between the budget discipline imposed by the ECB and the pressure from European partners, Berlin may have to make painful choices. Should the debt brake be loosened to boost investment, even if it displeases conservatives? One thing is certain: the “locomotive of Europe” needs a real boost. But who will dare to hit the accelerator? It should be noted that this is not the first time Germany has seen dark clouds accumulate on its economic horizon. Just last August, some were mentioning the specter of a recession , alerted by the decline in exports. Today, the question is no longer whether Germany will wobble, but how far it will fall before bouncing back.