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All eyes are on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as it wraps up its two-day meeting this Wednesday, March 19. This will be the final meeting until May this year. While markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, the real catalyst lies in what Fed Chair Jerome Powell says during the post-meeting press conference. For traders like Michael and Esther, this is “ the most important day of 2025 .” They believe Powell’s words will shape market direction, with major implications for the S&P 500 (SPY) and broader risk assets, including crypto. Currently, the SPY is trading below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $572.55. If it fails to break above this level, further downside to $540 and possibly $520 remains likely. However, a rebound, could ignite a recovery across equities, including tech stocks that have seen significant corrections despite strong earnings. Another crucial factor in play is President Donald Trump’s push to refinance US debt at lower interest rates. To achieve this, economic conditions would need to slow down, forcing inflation lower and justifying a Fed rate cut. Lower rates make debt more manageable, benefiting both the government and businesses. The market will be watching for any hints of this in Powell’s comments. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will also announce its interest rate decision on March 18. With Japan’s economy slowing but inflation remaining persistent, uncertainty looms. If the BoJ unexpectedly hikes rates, markets could react negatively, especially on Wednesday morning. Related: Rising U.S. Inflation Drives Fed Policy Shift as Bitcoin Rallies Toward a 98K Target According to Polymarket, the probability of the Fed ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) before May has surged to 100%, a significant 50% increase in recent days. With over $407K in volume on the platform, traders believe the Fed is shifting gears faster than expected. If QT ends, the increased liquidity could potentially trigger a bullish wave across both stocks and crypto. The total crypto market cap currently stands at approximately $2.69 trillion. This follows a period of decline, but technical indicators suggest a potential rebound if liquidity improves. Related: Bitcoin Price Takes a Hit as Investment Products See $430 Million Outflow After Fed’s ‘Hawkish’ Comments The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 43.35 which means that the bears are overall in charge of the market’s trajectory. However, the gradient of the line suggests increasing bullish momentum. The MACD indicator has confirmed a bullish divergence on the daily chart with the MACD line (blue) crossing above the signal line (orange). Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.

#BTC Back in June 2021, price was consolidating between the 21-week EMA (green) and 50-week EMA (blue) after a crash Right now, Bitcoin is consolidating between the same EMAs after a crash (By the way, $BTC indeed broke out from its triangle by late July 2021 to reach new All Time Highs in November 2021) #Crypto #Bitcoin

📊#BTC resistance has not been broken, beware of pullbacks! 🧠From a structural point of view, we have not broken through the blue resistance zone, and a short structure has been built near the resistance zone, so we need to be wary of the risk of pullbacks! ➡️If we want to participate in long transactions, it is best to find support at a low level to participate. The support area worthy of our attention is 77000-80000. ➡️If we successfully break through the blue resistance zone, the blue resistance zone will turn into a support zone, and then we can pay attention to the buying opportunities when the price falls back to this area. ⚠️Note that with the turbulence of the international situation, it will also be directly reflected in the financial market, so we must do a good job of risk management in our transactions during this period. Let's take a look👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬$BTC

We understand how terrible $GRIFFAIN chart is that's why we made use of a small leverage to minimize losses. A reversal candle can show up from current low level, and if it goes below the blue shade zone the chances of pumping again will be slight.

🚨 $BTC 4H Chart Breakdown 🚨 Bitcoin is playing mind games with traders again! 🎢 We’re seeing clear Change of Character (ChOCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) levels defining the market’s sentiment. 🔴 Key Levels to Watch: Premium Zone (Strong Highs) near 94K acting as resistance Equilibrium Zone (~85K) where price reacted before rejection Discount Zone (~79K-77K) could be a strong demand area 📉 Bears just pushed price below a recent ChOCH, hinting at more downside. If price respects the blue demand zone (~80K), we could see another bullish bounce. Otherwise, a deeper drop towards the green discount area is on the table. ⚠️ What's Next? Bullish case: A strong reaction from support (~80K) could trigger a move back to equilibrium (~85K). Bearish case: If sellers dominate, #BTC could hunt for liquidity near 77K.