ADA Price: Will Cardano Crash to $0 in January 2025?

The cryptocurrency market has always been known for its volatility, and Cardano (ADA) is no exception. Currently trading around $0.92, ADA has faced significant bearish pressure. This has led many investors to wonder if Cardano is at risk of crashing to $0. To address this concern, let’s analyze its Daily and Hourly charts and provide a detailed outlook for January 2025.

How has the Cardano Price Moved Recently?

As of today, Cardano (ADA) is priced at $0.923695 , with a 24-hour trading volume of $2.19 billion, a market capitalization of $32.47 billion, and a market dominance of 0.98%. Over the last 24 hours, ADA’s price has increased by 0.28%.

Cardano reached its all-time high of $3.10 on September 2, 2021, and its all-time low of $0.017354 on October 1, 2017. The lowest price since its ATH was $0.234392 (cycle low), while the highest price since the last cycle low was $1.3216 (cycle high).

The current price prediction sentiment for ADA is neutral, while the Fear & Greed Index stands at 69 (Greed), suggesting cautious optimism in the market.

Cardano’s circulating supply stands at 35.15 billion ADA, out of a maximum supply of 45.00 billion ADA. The current annual supply inflation rate is 3.94%, with 1.33 billion ADA minted in the last year.

Cardano Price Prediction: Hourly Chart Analysis

ADA/USD Hourly Chart- TradingView

The hourly chart gives us insight into short-term market movements and sentiment. Below are the key observations:

1. Persistent Downtrend:

ADA price is in a clear downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.

The Bollinger Bands show that the price is hovering near the lower band, which indicates sustained bearish momentum.

2. Weak RSI Levels:

The RSI (14) is currently at 40.51, which signals bearish momentum. However, it hasn’t yet reached oversold levels, suggesting there may still be room for further downside.

The RSI has struggled to break above the midline (50), which shows weak buying interest.

3. Failed Recovery Attempts:

Recent spikes in the price were short-lived, failing to break resistance levels at $0.95–0.96.

This indicates strong selling pressure and a lack of buyer conviction in the market.

4. Immediate Support and Resistance:

The immediate support is at $0.91. If this level breaks, the next support lies at $0.88, which has historically acted as a buffer.

Resistance at $0.95 remains unchallenged, preventing any meaningful bullish recovery.

Cardano Price Prediction: Daily Chart Analysis

ADA/USD Daily Chart- TradingView

The daily chart provides a broader perspective on Cardano’s price action and trends. Here are the detailed observations:

1. Recent Rally and Correction:

Cardano experienced a significant rally in late 2024 , peaking at over $1.20. However, it has since retraced to $0.92, signaling a sharp correction.

This retracement reflects profit-taking and weakening bullish momentum, which has left the price in a vulnerable state.

2. RSI Analysis:

The daily RSI stands at 45.11, slightly above oversold levels. This indicates a neutral-to-bearish sentiment.

There is no clear bullish divergence, which would be a signal for a potential reversal. This reduces the likelihood of immediate recovery.

3. Support and Resistance Levels:

Strong support exists in the range of $0.88 to $0.90. This level has held firm in the past and could act as a critical safety net.

Resistance is at $1.00, a psychological and technical barrier that ADA price has failed to reclaim. Without breaching this level, bullish momentum is unlikely.

4. Long-Term Trendline Break:

ADA has broken below a rising trendline established during its late-2024 rally. This breakdown confirms a shift in momentum to the downside, which could prolong the bearish trend.

 

Market Sentiment and Fundamentals

1. Broader Market Impact:

The overall cryptocurrency market has been bearish due to macroeconomic concerns such as regulatory scrutiny, rising interest rates, and reduced liquidity. These factors are putting additional pressure on ADA’s price.

2. Cardano Ecosystem Developments:

While Cardano continues to expand its ecosystem with advancements in smart contracts and DeFi, these developments have not yet translated into strong price support due to the broader bearish market conditions.

3. Declining Trading Volume:

A notable decrease in trading volume reflects reduced participation and skepticism among investors. This low volume contributes to ADA’s inability to sustain price recoveries.

 

Will Cardano Crash to $0?

The possibility of Cardano crashing to $0 is extremely unlikely due to the following reasons:

1. Strong Ecosystem and Community Support:

Cardano’s developer community and ongoing ecosystem upgrades provide intrinsic value to the project, making a complete collapse improbable.

2. Established Support Zones:

Multiple support levels at $0.90, $0.88, and $0.80 reduce the risk of a total free fall.

3. Institutional and Retail Interest:

Cardano remains one of the most widely held cryptocurrencies by both institutional and retail investors. This interest adds a layer of stability to its price.

Cardano Price Prediction for January 2025

Given the technical and fundamental analysis, here are the possible scenarios for Cardano’s price in January 2025:

1. Bearish Scenario:

If Cardano fails to hold the $0.88 support, it could decline further to the next critical level of $0.80. However, a crash to $0 remains unrealistic.

2. Neutral Scenario:

Cardano is likely to trade in a range between $0.90 and $1.00, with weak momentum preventing significant moves in either direction.

3. Bullish Scenario:

If market sentiment improves and ADA breaks above $1.00, it could aim for a recovery towards $1.05 or higher.

Conclusion

While Cardano’s price action shows clear bearish signs, the idea of it crashing to $0 is far-fetched. Strong support zones, an active developer community, and ongoing ecosystem growth provide a safety net for ADA. However, in the short term, the price is likely to remain under pressure due to macroeconomic factors and weak technical momentum.