Cardano Price Crash – Will ADA Drop Below $0.50?

Cardano (ADA) has been on a rollercoaster ride lately, with its price holding above $0.87 but showing signs of uncertainty. Many investors are wondering if it can maintain this level or if it’s heading for a bigger drop. In this Cardano Price Prediction article, we’ll dive into what’s driving ADA’s price movement, the key levels to watch, and what could happen if it falls below the $0.87 mark.

How has the Cardano (ADA) Price Moved Recently?

ADA/USD daily chart- TradingView

Cardano (ADA) is currently priced at $0.89808 , with a 24-hour trading volume of $3.80 billion, a market capitalization of $31.54 billion, and a market dominance of 0.93%. Over the past 24 hours, its price has dropped by 8.85%.

The all-time high for Cardano was $3.10, achieved on September 2, 2021, while its all-time low was $0.017354, recorded on October 1, 2017. Since its peak, the lowest price ADA reached was $0.234392 (cycle low), and the highest price since that low was $1.32242 (cycle high). Current sentiment around Cardano's price is neutral, with the Fear & Greed Index indicating a level of 74, signaling "Greed."

Cardano's circulating supply stands at 35.12 billion ADA out of a maximum supply of 45 billion ADA. With a yearly supply inflation rate of 3.84%, approximately 1.30 billion ADA have been minted in the past year.

Why Is the Cardano (ADA) Price Down?

The recent decline in Cardano's (ADA) price can be attributed to broader macroeconomic factors, particularly the Federal Reserve's (Fed) latest interest rate decision . On Wednesday, the Fed cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. While this rate cut aligned with market expectations, the crypto market, including ADA, experienced a downturn following the announcement.

The market's negative reaction likely stems not from the immediate rate cut but from concerns about the Fed's forward-looking outlook for 2025. Market participants often interpret Fed actions as a signal of long-term economic conditions. If investors anticipate prolonged economic challenges or uncertainty in the Fed’s policy direction, it can dampen confidence in risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Cardano’s price, being sensitive to broader market sentiment, reflects this cautious investor outlook.

Cardano Price Prediction: Will ADA Price Drop Below $0.50?

The possibility of Cardano (ADA) dropping below $0.50 hinges on a combination of internal and external factors that have been influencing its price performance. Despite its position as a mega-cap cryptocurrency, ADA has underperformed the market average, highlighting persistent internal bearish catalysts. 

ADA token activity- IntoTheBlock

On-chain data shows a lack of significant demand since December 2, with sell-offs intensifying following the recent Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting. This indicates that Cardano’s struggles are not merely tied to market-wide trends but also reflect waning investor confidence and demand for the asset.

The Fed’s outlook for 2025 adds to this uncertainty. If the macroeconomic environment continues to project slow growth and restricted liquidity, risk assets like ADA could face additional downward pressure. 

Currently, ADA is struggling to hold above key support levels like $0.87. If it breaches this level, the price may slide further to $0.77, setting the stage for a more pronounced bearish trend. A continued lack of buying interest or further negative developments in the broader crypto market could ultimately lead to a drop below $0.50.

The likelihood of ADA dropping below $0.50 will depend on its ability to find support and maintain investor interest amidst bearish macroeconomic and on-chain trends. If Cardano’s fundamentals, such as network upgrades or partnerships, fail to attract demand, it could struggle to counteract selling pressure. 

In this case, prolonged bearish momentum could see ADA testing the $0.50 level, particularly if broader market sentiment remains negative.

On the other hand, several factors could help ADA avoid such a significant drop. A recovery in the broader cryptocurrency market, driven by clarity in macroeconomic policies or renewed optimism in blockchain and DeFi sectors, could provide the boost ADA needs to stabilize. 

Additionally, if Cardano developers announce impactful updates or if adoption metrics improve, it could restore confidence and attract buying interest, mitigating the risk of a deeper decline.

Ultimately, whether ADA holds above $0.50 will depend on a delicate balance between mitigating bearish pressures and leveraging potential bullish catalysts.