• Bitcoin reserves may be established at federal and state levels, solidifying its role in fiscal and economic strategies.
  • Corporate BTC holdings are projected to grow 43%, surpassing Satoshi Nakamoto’s holdings, with public companies increasing to 100.
  • U.S. Bitcoin mining share will rise from 28% to 35%, backed by low-cost energy and favorable policies.

The United States is set to raise its integration of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies under new leadership. The administration, led by Donald Trump, has appointed crypto-friendly officials, including Vice President JD Vance, National Security Advisor Michael Waltz, and Treasury Secretary Mary Bessent. 

New Era for Crypto Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs)

VanEck has noted that regulatory changes are expected to approve multiple spot crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) in the U.S., including offerings like the VanEck Solana ETP. Ethereum ETPs are projected to incorporate staking functionalities, enhancing value for holders. In-kind creation and redemption processes for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs will further align digital assets with traditional financial systems. 

Bitcoin Reserves at Federal and State Levels

By 2025, the federal government or individual states, such as Pennsylvania or Texas, may establish Bitcoin reserves . Federally, this could occur through executive action utilizing the Treasury’s Exchange Stabilization Fund. State governments might independently adopt Bitcoin reserves to strengthen fiscal stability and attract crypto innovation. 

On the Bitcoin mining side, the number of countries mining Bitcoin with government resources is expected to reach double digits as BRICS adoption grows. This trend is fueled by Russia’s intent to settle international trade in crypto, highlighting Bitcoin’s increasing importance in global economic strategies.

VanEck 2025 Prediction: Bitcoin Reserves Expected as U.S. BTC Mining Hit 35% Hash Rate image 0 VanEck 2025 Prediction: Bitcoin Reserves Expected as U.S. BTC Mining Hit 35% Hash Rate image 1

Source: VanEck

Pro-Bitcoin policies in the United States are expected to increase its influence within the global crypto economy. The share of global crypto developers in the U.S. is cast to grow from 19% to 25% by 2025, supported by regulatory clearness and new incentives.

  U.S.-based Bitcoin mining is also forecast to expand , with the country’s share of global mining hash rate increasing from 28% in 2024 to 35% facilitated by access to low-cost energy and potential tax benefits, solidifying the nation’s role as a leader in Bitcoin mining and development.

VanEck 2025 Prediction: Bitcoin Reserves Expected as U.S. BTC Mining Hit 35% Hash Rate image 2 VanEck 2025 Prediction: Bitcoin Reserves Expected as U.S. BTC Mining Hit 35% Hash Rate image 3

Source: VanEck

Corporate BTC Holdings Set for 43% Growth by 2025

Corporate Bitcoin adoption is poised for growth, with public companies expected to rise from 68 to 100 by 2025. Currently, private and public firms hold 765,000 BTC, a number expected to surpass Satoshi Nakamoto’s 1.1 million BTC holdings next year. This reflects a 43% increase in corporate Bitcoin holdings, driven by accumulation from retail holders and broader integration of Bitcoin into corporate balance sheets.

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